May 06, 2010 21:44
Because I enjoy looking silly, and despite the fact that the exit polls in 15 minutes are going to be very good for the Conservatives...
A deeply hung Parliament. Conservatives literally just short of an overall majority, around the 320 seats mark (326 is an overall majority, though 323 is a functional one thanks to the absence of Sinn Fein and the neutrality of the Speaker group). Labour around 220 and Lib Dems around 90, meaning there's no yellow-red coalition on either. In my dreams, this results in Nick Clegg joining a Conservative government and the decent Lib Dems coming over to Labour. In reality I imagine it means a rubbish Tory government muddling through, in thrall to its backbenchers and the whims of Ulstermen.
We'll see how wrong I am, and I'll declare my final betting P&L, sometime over the weekend!