Oh, the prisoner's dilemma. I mean, it's not the prisoner's dilemma, as there's no analogous extreme punishment for [cooperate, defect] (it would be a positive payoff, at that, albeit an unlikely one), but there are certainly varying payoffs. Cooperate, a.k.a. clam, near guarantees a similar response, with a minor payoff, while the stakes only become interesting at defect. Approximately:
[c,c] = 10 [P .9]
[c,d] = 50 [P .1]
[d,c] = -10 [P ?]
[d,d] = 50 [P ?]
Kinda the opposite of the prisoner's dilemma, at that. Clam wins it with an average payoff of 30, rather than defect's 20, but then I'd have to weight probability for accurate payoffs, and I don't have a full set to deal with. Clam, with probability (assuming I'm figuring correctly), drops to an average payoff of 14, while defect, assuming [P .5], stays 20, but, then, that is the question. The outcomes are equal with [P .6] for [d,c], though that then brings home the arbitrary nature of the values assigned (notably, one could well argue for a higher negative value for [d,c]). Still, defect is, as presented, the wiser strategy even in the event that the positive payoff is slightly unlikely. HRRRMMM. Alternatively, I should stop thinking of my life in terms of Game Theory 101.
Am working everyday but Wednesday, this week. I shall have worked sixteen of nineteen days since my vacation, and I'm nigh guaranteed a similar schedule next week, with the release of Pirates, so I should have a striking percentage at the end of it. Hah hah, but still "working part time," thanks to the magic of six hour shifts.
But, more importantly, HALF YEAR LISTING! UH!
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