Let’s continue speculating on Schleich-2011

Sep 29, 2010 13:54

I’d like to continue our discussion on Schleich’s production plans. Too much text again, but I just can’t help it :)
Christophe’s arguments about Schleich’s utter rationalism and the overwhelming popularity of African wildlife have moderated my “Asian wave” hypothesis a bit, but… I just can’t imagine more than nine “appealing” and profit-making African figures that Schleich could make. Those are:
- new hippo with calf
- gorilla family
- ostrich female
- Cape buffalo
- okapi calf
- zebra in a new position (lying? looking back? prancing? running?)

Maybe you could add smth to the list, friends?
Nevertheless, if Schleich introduces something African not from this list, I’ll be very surprised. As all the rest belongs to the “risky” way, doesn’t it?
As for me, I don’t consider baboons, hyenas or marabous “appealing” in the marketing sense of the word, and kudu or oryx are not very well-known among kids. (Of course, I hope they won’t replace current chimp family with a new one - there are more than enough chimps on the market!)

In 2010 Schleich introduced 25 new figures of wild animals, in 2009 - twenty wild critters, and in 2008 - 17. The advance in quantity is obvious.
Let’s hope that in the year of their 75th anniversary Schleich won’t set back in quantity of new stuff and will introduce not less than 25 new wild animals.
So, if they even release the above mentioned African figures all at once, we’ll have only 9 items.
If we subtract our virtual 9 from 25 there’ll be 16 figures left. What could they be?
In Schleich’s 2010 lineup European and N. American fauna was represented by 12 figures, in 2009 - by 3 items, in 2008 - also by 3. The average is six. Than we have 16-6=10.
For Australia, S. America and Arctic/Antarctic Schleich has made only 7 figures altogether in the past three years. So we may expect not more than two new animals for these continents.

In the end, we have eight vacant positions for 2011. Those should be given to Asia - a piece of cake :)))
If my estimation is close to reality, what do you think about the following 8-piece Asian lineups:
- optimistic variant: Malayan tapir calf, Indian rhino with calf, black leopard with calf, gaur, reticulated python, muntjak (or even a peacock / cassowary instead of muntjak / gaur).
- conservative variant: tapir calf, Indian rhino with calf, black leopard with calf, new orangutan family.

I believe chances that my guesswork comes true are rather high. And what do you think about it?

schleich-2011

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