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danieldwilliam June 20 2016, 11:27:13 UTC
He's in a difficult situation. The Euro-sceptics in his party would be pretty unhappy if he tried to ignore the result of the referendum. They are pretty vocal with a long history of being difficult.

On the other hand the larger faction in his Parliamentary party is the pro-EU MP's. They tend to be less difficult but there are more of them and they've been able to be not difficult because they've been getting their way. I can see them becoming very difficult very quickly if they lose the referendum 51-49 and want to prevent the UK leaving the EU.

So a Tory PM, whether Cameron or Johnstone, has a really difficult road ahead of them.

Agreed on the structure of the endorsement referendum. That woudl makes sense. There is a long and dishonourable history of re-running referenda on the EU. We might as well join in.

Another way of Cameron weasiling out would be to cite Scotland and Northern Ireland (and perhaps Wales) and say something about unaniminty amongst the nations of the UK blah, blah, Solem Vow, blah, blah, break up the UK, blah, blah, Peace Treaty blah, blah - so no, we're not leaving the EU on a close vote.

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