Jul 27, 2013 12:00
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In theory it's do-able - I've not looked up the figures recently but historically credit unions do reasonably well for defaults (better than I think they 'ought' to), and certainly better than payday lenders.
I confidently predict, though, that nonetheless the Archbishop of Canterbury and credit unions are not going to put payday lenders out of business through competition. Part of the point of credit unions (and reducing the rate of default on loans) is that they know you better than a payday lender, which takes time - and the big selling point for payday lenders is that you get the cash right now.
(Also, I can't easily duplicate drplotka's sums there but happy to take it on spec. My guess is he's underestimating the cost of defaults - I expect Wonga is making money, but not at the spectacular rate that one might guess from their APRs. I'd be surprised if they are making very much more per pound loaned than a traditional bank.)
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It's also a very complex issue to resolve - the simple regulatory solution (legal maximum APRs) will mean high-risk customers simply can't get loans, and also raises the scary prospect of illegal loan sharks (who will have added incentive to terrify their customers). Which might on average seem better than the current regime, but I think much better to put our efforts in to reducing people's risk of defaulting. Which includes boosting credit unions.
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23078746
And yes - I think that it costs them about £10 to set up each loan in overheads, and they need to make that back too.
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This strikes me as yet another in the centuries-old series of arguments that taking money from poor people is counterintuitively an act of stunning altruism on the part of the taker. (see also employers who pay their employees very little, then boast that they give the very poorest people jobs! Saints, the lot of them)
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