Jan 10, 2013 11:00
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OK -- you need an estimate for falsely reported rapes:
They use this:
http://www.ndaa.org/pdf/the_voice_vol_3_no_1_2009.pdf
That is actually a meta review but cites 2-8% as the rate of false rape reports. (The other link reports that as incorrect).
They take the bottom end figure of 2%. Then they say that this only applies to accusations which are reported to the police (logic is reasonable-ish -- can't be a false accusation unless it is an accusation).
They are then left with the bulk of the figure -- these are claims of rape not reported to the police. Now we have no way of knowing whether someone who claims they have been raped but does not go to the police is more or less likely to be lying than someone who does. However, there's no reason to think that absolutely none of them lie. They don't know whether the claims in this area are false or true claims. The label they choose for that is "rapist".
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