Хроники мировой мозаичной войны. Немертвые военно-воздушные силы эры дендрофекальной революции

[alex_rozoff]

Не прошло и трех месяцев с момента начала мировой мозаичной войны*, как ВПК крупнейшего в экономическом и военном отношении государства этой планетки метнулось от сверхдорогих "ультрасовременных" моделей боевой авиации (на самом деле зависших с эры НТР, с 1970-го примерно) - в сторону сверхдешевых продуктов "гаражного" авиастроения (как и было

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[alex_rozoff]

16 декабря 2022, МЭА ожидает рекордную добычу и потребление угля в мире в 2022 г.
На близком уровне добыча и спрос останутся до 2025 г.


https://neftegaz.ru/news/coal/763107-mea-v-2022-g-ozhidaet-rekordnuyu-dobychu-i-potreblenie-uglya-v-2022-g/

[prosto_vova]

Приложите график объемов выработки солнечной, ветровой и прочей ВИЭ энергии, пожалуйста. Они в открытом доступе.

[mik]

Cumulative solar PV installations have doubled ten times in that period, and it is doublings that drive down costs. Solar PV has been delivering a learning rate of around 25% per doubling for the past five decades, chopping the cost of modules from $106 per Watt of capacity in 1975 to $0.13/W in November 2023 (according to BloombergNEF’s solar price index), a factor of 820.

The wind sector has doubled six times over the past 20 years - relatively staid, but only by comparison with solar PV. In 2004, 8 gigawatts of wind power were installed; in 2023 the figure was around 110GW, including 12GW of offshore wind. Wind’s costs too have plummeted, from $0.12/kWh for the best projects twenty years ago to around $0.02/kWh for onshore wind and $0.05/kWh for offshore.

As a result, wind and solar together make up the fastest-growing source of electricity in history. Twenty years ago, they accounted for less than one percent of global power; 10 years ago, the figure edged up to 3%. By the end of last year, it had surged to 15%. The growth of nuclear in the 1980s is often held up as the fastest-growing source of clean energy. Not even close: in its best year, nuclear power output increased by 230 terawatt-hours, adding 2.6% to the global electricity supply. Last year enough new wind and solar capacity was installed to deliver an expected 800 TWh each year, which would fulfill 2.8% of global power demand - and the rate of adding wind and solar - the second derivative - is continuing to accelerate.

[kvakosavrus_q]

>2.8% of global power demand

Отвернуться и плакать

[muderator]

плакать тут надо бы от "the rate of adding wind and solar - the second derivative"

[mik]

Это добавление за год, причём скорость нарастает. Какая доля будет у ВИЭ в 2030м? В 2040м?